Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 11.877412 13.675777 15.595688 17.791369 20.226222 22.836865 25.840800
2025-02-16 9.077158 11.336943 13.901207 17.004499 20.635451 24.726088 29.658727
2025-02-23 7.432223 9.950210 12.957817 16.770107 21.425537 26.876447 33.688274
2025-03-02 6.125521 8.743281 12.019271 16.346036 21.829846 28.465127 37.008815
2025-03-09 5.213702 7.891403 11.386598 16.173967 22.440665 30.239003 40.536303
2025-03-16 4.401549 7.055303 10.662993 15.777675 22.677085 31.486548 43.387205
2025-03-23 3.893672 6.571694 10.346408 15.861415 23.495660 33.458635 47.177575
2025-03-30 3.424736 6.082544 9.963441 15.800030 24.079828 35.108599 50.567022
2025-04-06 3.092392 5.757513 9.776910 15.981483 24.977264 37.177405 54.544400
2025-04-13 2.801777 5.461630 9.600004 16.148508 25.839280 39.203849 58.501967
2025-04-20 2.613111 5.309302 9.622542 16.598468 27.107666 41.812155 63.306801
2025-04-27 2.416814 5.120035 9.566433 16.914479 28.179088 44.163217 67.805747
2025-05-04 2.172967 4.821955 9.314274 16.913914 28.784486 45.881941 71.488833
2025-05-11 1.833181 4.304810 8.653629 16.217952 28.296257 45.998055 72.895208
2025-05-18 1.618854 3.996872 8.317990 16.016442 28.541528 47.169514 75.818094
2025-05-25 1.400903 3.651360 7.883900 15.617347 28.447525 47.820732 77.987123
2025-06-01 1.241938 3.404980 7.604326 15.455351 28.711522 49.000573 80.942239
2025-06-08 1.074281 3.114701 7.215678 15.074746 28.595314 49.587029 83.018708
2025-06-15 0.979032 2.973006 7.095853 15.156154 29.232064 51.335343 86.859457
2025-06-22 0.878507 2.803824 6.906464 15.097215 29.625569 52.708504 90.156374
2025-06-29 0.811026 2.704944 6.848484 15.272333 30.415217 54.716304 94.455040
2025-07-06 0.748237 2.608470 6.786479 15.433485 31.181847 56.701250 98.754298
2025-07-13 0.713928 2.581664 6.867634 15.867583 32.432140 59.483950 104.336739